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Guide for a Great Holiday
PLUS:
A headpiece with pedigree, Watches & Jewelry
EUROPE EDITION
VOL. XXXII NO. 212
FRIDAY - SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 28 - 30, 2014
$1.75 (C/V)
-
KES 250
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NAI 375
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£1.70
WSJ.com
VIENNA—OPEC members
rejected calls for drastic ac-
tion to cut their oil output,
keeping their production ceil-
ing unchanged and suggesting
the cartel is bracing for lower
prices longer term.
The move sent crude
prices into a tailspin and
By
Benoît Faucon,
Summer Said, Sarah
Kent
and
Nicole Lundeen
Oil Prices Fall as OPEC Stands Pat
Another Plunge
Oil prices plummeted to a
four-year low after OPEC
decided to maintain production
targets. Brent crude-oil futures
prices, in dollars a barrel
$78 a barrel
Europe
Ups Ante
In Battle
Over Web
B
Y
S
AM
S
CHECHNER
Europe escalated its war
against U.S. technology super-
powers as the Continent’s two
largest economies and the Eu-
ropean Parliament on Thurs-
day backed fresh efforts to
rein in the influence of com-
panies such as
Apple
Inc.,
Facebook
Inc. and
Google
Inc.
France and Germany asked
the European Union to look
into new competition rules
and other regulations that
better target the business
practices of large technology
firms. At the same time, the
European Parliament over-
whelmingly approved a reso-
lution that calls for a possible
breakup of Google.
The moves came a day af-
ter privacy regulators asked
Google and others to extend
the EU’s new “right to be for-
gotten” to their websites out-
side Europe and follows a
push by U.K. lawmakers to
have social-media firms do
more to comb their services
for extremist content.
Apple, Facebook and
Google declined to comment.
The rapid-fire efforts by
Please turn to page 18
76
spilled into currency and Eu-
ropean equity markets. If
Thursday’s
market
rout
proves lasting, it will provide
more relief to consumers in
gasoline-guzzling countries
like the U.S. But it is hammer-
ing the finances of big oil pro-
ducers, from Russia to Vene-
zuela, and biting into profit at
oil companies big and small.
The 12-member Organiza-
tion of the Petroleum Export-
ing Countries, who collec-
tively pump around one-third
of the world’s oil, agreed to
stick to the group’s current
target of pumping 30 million
barrels a day. That would im-
ply a production cut of
around 300,000 barrels a
day, based on OPEC’s own
figures. Even if implemented,
that would be only a rela-
tively small cut in global oil
supply.
That was enough to send
oil prices tumbling, with the
74
72
70
8
10
a.m.
12
p.m
2
4
6
Source: WSJ Market Data Group
Saudi Arabia's oil minister Ali al-Naimi in Vienna on Thursday
nearing an all-time low
against the dollar. Share
prices of major European oil
companies dived, with Royal
Dutch Shell PLC down 4.3%,
Total SA off 4.1% and BP fall-
ing 2.7%.
OPEC Secretary-General
Abdalla Salem el-Badri said he
was sure OPEC members
would “abide by” the group’s
production target.
But faced with a gusher of
new oil supply—mainly from
the U.S. thanks to the shale
revolution—and weaker global
oil demand, OPEC’s muted re-
sponse caused some to ques-
tion the five-decade old car-
tel’s relevance.
Analysts had estimated
OPEC would need to take 1
million to 1.5 million barrels a
day off the market to support
oil prices, which have fallen
by more than 30% since the
summer.
“The outcome of today’s
Associated Press
West Texas Intermediate
benchmark falling below $70
a barrel for the first time in
over four years, down $4.58,
or 6.2%, at $69.13 a barrel on
the New York Mercantile Ex-
change. The global Brent con-
tract for January fell $4.93, or
6.3%, to $72.82 a barrel on the
ICE Futures Europe exchange.
Currencies of major oil
producing countries slid, with
the Russian ruble hitting a re-
cord low against the euro and
meeting marks a watershed for
the oil market,” oil analysts at
Barclays said. “OPEC is clearly
signaling that it will no longer
bear the burden of market ad-
justment alone and this deci-
sion puts the onus on other
producers, especially U.S. tight
oil, to adjust as well.”
The absence of stronger
Please turn to page 22
Heard on the Street:
OPEC’s
weapon of mass inaction.. 28
B
Y
B
RIAN
B
LACKSTONE
A
ND
J
ON
H
ILSENRATH
Central Banks in Europe
Pressed to Embrace Gold
The Swiss National Bank
could be forced to more than
double its gold assets, and be
banned from selling them, if
the Alpine country’s voters on
Sunday back a populist initia-
tive the central bank vigor-
ously opposes.
The “Save Our Swiss Gold”
campaign would require the
SNB to hold a fifth of its as-
sets in gold within five years.
It would also prohibit it from
selling its gold and require
that Swiss gold held overseas
be repatriated.
Although polls suggest the
initiative will fail, the referen-
dum symbolizes the nostalgia
for gold in some corners at a
time when many European
economies face stagnation
and too-low inflation. Their
Inside
Pope’s Turkey Visit
Tests Stance on Islam
B
Y
D
EBORAH
B
ALL
Two weeks after his elec-
tion, Pope Francis washed the
feet of 12 people at a juvenile
detention center in Rome for
the annual Holy Thursday rit-
ual. Among those chosen for
the rite was a Muslim girl.
The image of the kneeling
76-year-old pope washing and
kissing her feet sent an un-
equivocal message: After the
tensions that characterized
the reign of Pope Benedict
XVI—peaking with a 2006
speech that linked Islam to vi-
olence—the new pontiff in-
tended to reset Catholicism’s
relations with the Muslim
world.
Just over a year and a half
later, the limits of the Vati-
can’s efforts are being tested,
as the Holy See steps up its
The 2008 financial crisis
and its aftermath have re-
vived interest in a monetary
policy instrument of a bygone
era: gold.
This trend is especially
pronounced in Europe, where
central banks face public
pressure to buy more gold or
bring back home what they
hold in vaults overseas.
Gold hasn’t played a sig-
nificant role in global mone-
tary policy for decades and
central bankers hope it stays
that way, even though some
have used gold’s symbolic al-
lure to try building trust with
citizens frustrated by years of
easy-money policies.
central banks have responded
with controversial measures
loading their balance sheets
with financial assets that crit-
ics, particularly in Germany
but also in Switzerland, see as
too risky.
Germany’s central bank
made a public-relations splash
with its decision last year to
return home some of the
country’s gold from vaults in
the U.S. and Paris, which fol-
lowed a campaign led by the
mass-circulation Bild-Zeitung
called “Bring Our Gold Back
Home.”
The Bundesbank says its
decision was made autono-
Please turn to page 20
Three FIFA executives
targeted in World Cup
ethics probe
Sports ................... 26
Rocket race: EU gets
behind cheaper
versions of Ariane
Business ................ 15
A bike ride across
Alaska for fun
Personal Journal .. 25
Eurozone bond yields hit
record lows................................. 15
call for Muslim leaders to do
more to denounce Islamic
State atrocities against reli-
gious minorities and guaran-
tee religious freedom to
Christians.
The pope’s visit this week-
end to Turkey—where once-
robust Christian communities
have dwindled and a Muslim
majority is staking a greater
claim to the public sphere—
provides a crucial example.
The trip is the pope’s
fourth to a Muslim-majority
country, but Turkey, where
99% of its 82 million citizens
are Muslim, is by far the big-
gest. During the three-day
trip, Pope Francis will visit
Ankara and Istanbul, meeting
Muslim and Orthodox Chris-
tian leaders, as well as top
Turkish politicians including
Please turn to page 3
2
| Friday - Sunday, November 28 - 30, 2014
AM IM UK SW FR IT SP TK BR PL IS AE GR
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
PAGE TWO
What’s News—
Business & Finance
n
U.K. takeover rules
known
as “Put Up or Shut Up” are
changing the way bankers run
deals and have thwarted sev-
eral large acquisitions.
15
n
Europe’s politicians
are
poised to approve a new gener-
ation of lower-cost versions of
its Ariane rockets.
15
n
E.ON has agreed
to sell its
Spanish assets to Australia’s
Macquarie Group and Kuwait’s
sovereign-wealth fund in a deal
worth $3.1 billion.
18
n
SABMiller and
Coca-Cola
plan to combine soft-drink bot-
tling operations in southern
and eastern Africa.
17
n
Portuguese
authorities
raided the Lisbon premises of
the Espírito Santo group and
its collapsed bank, Banco Es-
pírito Santo.
20
n
China’s stock market
is
booming, and brokerages are
emerging as among the biggest
winners.
19
n
Two companies
owned by
Carlos Slim will invest up to
$875.4 million in Fomento de
Construcciones y Contratas.
18
i
i
i
World-Wide
n
Ukraine’s parliament
voted
to keep pro-Western economist
Arseniy Yatsenyuk in his role
as prime minister, taking the
first step in forging a govern-
ment aimed at stabilizing the
battle-scarred country.
3
n
A bipartisan report
by U.K.
lawmakers called for Scotland
to be given new powers to
raise taxes.
4
n
British Prime Minister
Da-
vid Cameron’s efforts to curb
immigration suffered a blow as
statistics showed a spike in
immigration flows.
4
n
Consumer prices
fell in
Spain and Belgium while rising
in Germany at their slowest
annual pace in almost five
years in November.
5
n
The Obama
administration
last month secretly presented a
document to Tehran in a bid to
end the protracted dispute
over Iran’s nuclear program.
7
n
Israel said it
uncovered a
network of Hamas militants in
the West Bank, part of what
authorities say is a push by the
group to revive attacks beyond
the Gaza Strip.
7
i
i
i
In Brussels, Germany
Seen Calling the Shots
[ Brussels Beat ]
B
Y
S
TEPHEN
F
IDLER
It is less than a
month since the
new European
Commission of
Jean-Claude
Juncker took
office. And here is the narrative
that has gathered force since: that
Germany has locked up the key
positions in Brussels and is
guiding the bloc’s policy agenda in
an unprecedented way.
Berlin has long held the whip
hand in European Union affairs—
but never, the new wisdom goes,
to the current extent. On the face
of it, the new order is run by a
Luxembourger—Mr. Juncker, who
easily survived a no-confidence
vote in the European Parliament
on Thursday—and former Polish
Prime Minister Donald Tusk. Mr.
Tusk takes over on Monday from
Herman Van Rompuy as president
of the European Council, a role
where he will set the agenda for
and preside over EU summit
meetings.
But German is the only
language they both speak well,
and they are surrounded by
Germans like Martin Schulz, the
president of the increasingly
powerful European Parliament,
and lesser-known figures such as
Klaus Welle, the chief of the
Parliament’s secretariat, and Uwe
Corsepius, Mr. Welle’s counterpart
at the council until at least next
year.
That is not to speak of Klaus
Regling, the head of the European
Stability Mechanism, the
eurozone’s bailout fund, and
Werner Hoyer, the head of the
European Investment Bank that is
at the center of the €300 billion
($375.18 billion) investment fund
Mr. Juncker launched this week.
As in most good conspiracy
theories, there is someone who
wields power from behind the
throne. In this case, it is Martin
Selmayr, Mr. Juncker’s German
chief of staff. His name is barely
known outside EU circles in
Brussels, but this tough,
hardworking and articulate lawyer,
is widely credited as the architect
of Mr. Juncker’s rise to head the
commission.
Whether or not there is
evidence for it, Mr. Selmayr’s hand
is seen everywhere from the
choice of commission personnel
and the commission’s emphasis on
message discipline and focus to its
legislative priorities.
There are 31 Germans in the
private offices of the 28 European
commissioners, according to the
weekly European Voice, which said
it had received information on
staffing from every one except
Günther Oettinger, Germany’s
digital commissioner. That
compares with just 21 from the
next most represented nation,
France.
With the soldiers in position,
according to the narrative, the
campaign is fought. On efforts to
spur the eurozone’s moribund
economy, Germany has insisted
that relaxing budget constraints
isn’t the way to do it. So, instead
of using fiscal policy, Mr. Juncker’s
Associated Press
Martin Schulz, left, with German-speaking Jean-Claude Juncker on Wednesday.
investment fund would largely
reshuffle the existing EU budget,
using financial engineering and
hoped-for funding from the
private sector to magnify the €21
billion EU institutions are putting
up by 15 times.
German influence is widely
perceived in areas where German
industry is involved. The country’s
publishing companies are seen
behind the intensification of
Google’s travails in Europe—the
latest of which was the
nonbinding resolution Thursday in
the Parliament calling for
consideration of an “unbundling”
of search engines from other
services. That resolution was put
forward by a German
parliamentarian, Andreas Schwab.
German media, the narrative
goes, strongly pressed this year
for Mr. Juncker’s appointment and
Mr. Selmayr once worked for the
publisher Bertelsmann SE.
Moreover, the man in charge of
this portfolio at the commission is
Germany’s Mr. Oettinger, the
digital commissioner.
Mr. Oettinger’s brief also gives
him sway over
telecommunications. There, the
new commission is embarking on
a substantial overhaul of proposed
telecoms legislation that was
unpopular with big players such as
Deutsche Telekom AG.
Elsewhere, strong opposition in
Germany to establishing a special
dispute-settlement procedure
inside the proposed trade
agreement between the U.S. and
EU appears to have secured a
pledge from Mr. Juncker to
exclude it from the pact. That isn’t
a position that was held by trade
commissioner Cecilia Malmström.
When she issued a statement to
the Parliament in September
saying that no such mechanism
would be part of the agreement,
tracking changes in the digital
version of the document showed it
was Mr. Selmayr who wrote it in.
Commission officials didn’t
want to respond on the record to
this. But they do privately resist
the narrative. In the first place
they argue, most of the Germans
are committed to European
institutions and act first according
to their European responsibilities.
Several people attest to witnessing
fights between Mr. Selmayr and
senior figures in Berlin.
They say German domination
over the economic debate isn’t
new. Germany, as the biggest
economy, holds the purse strings
and it isn’t surprising it gets to
call the tune.
They also say Mr. Oettinger’s
approach to Google, for example,
and the telecoms companies will
be balanced by the vice president
who oversees his brief, Andrus
Ansip, a former prime minister of
Estonia who has pushed for an
aggressive agenda favoring digital
innovation. In any case, many
changes favored by German
companies have widespread
support among other companies
elsewhere in the EU.
Mr. Juncker’s pledge to oppose
the dispute-settlement mechanism
was made largely to secure
support for his candidacy among
socialists in the Parliament, they
say. This was strongly favored by
Germany’s Social Democratic
Party—now members of the
governing coalition in Berlin—but
it wasn’t a priority for Chancellor
Angela Merkel.
Ultimately, the main reason
Germany is being outed as calling
the shots in Brussels may be that
it does. France, its traditional co-
leader in driving EU affairs, is
suffering chronic economic
weakness and its influence has
waned. Berlin has traditionally
preferred to wield its influence
behind the scenes. That may no
longer be possible.
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
Friday - Sunday, November 28 - 30, 2014 |
3
EUROPE NEWS
Ukraine’s parliament voted to
keep pro-Western economist Ar-
seniy Yatsenyuk in his role as prime
minister, taking the first step in
forging a government aimed at sta-
bilizing the battle-scarred country.
By
James Marson
in Moscow
and
Nick Shchetko
in Kiev, Ukraine
Ukraine Premier Wins Vote to Keep Job
The appointment of Mr. Yatse-
nyuk ends weeks of wrangling over
a new cabinet after pro-Europe par-
ties swept elections at the end of
last month. He was elected by a ma-
jority of more than two-thirds of the
parliament in a show of unity amid
continued pressure from Russia to
halt its westward course.
Mr. Yatsenyuk and his govern-
ment, which is set to be finalized at
the next sitting on Tuesday, will
face enormous challenges, from con-
tinuing fighting against Russia-
backed militants in its east to pre-
carious finances.
Ukraine—whose economy is fore-
cast to contract at least 7% this
year—is reliant on loans from the
International Monetary Fund. But
analysts warn that the Washington-
based lender’s loan program may be
insufficient to halt the slide in the
national currency, the hryvnia, as
central-bank reserves have plum-
meted to their lowest in nearly a de-
cade.
“We have a most heavy burden
on our shoulders—the burden of
historic responsibility to protect the
country and our independence. The
country is at war, people are in
need, and it depends on us to stop
the aggression,” Mr. Yatsenyuk said
in parliament.
Mr. Yatsenyuk sealed his new al-
liance with President Petro Porosh-
enko with an embrace, after raising
his hand and pledging to use it to
carry out measures the president
Premier Arseniy Yatsenyuk, left, with Prime Minister Petro Poroshenko after winning the parliament vote on Thursday.
had just outlined to overhaul
Ukraine’s corrupted state system
and moribund economy. “It’s our
joint responsibility,” he said.
Lawmakers from a broad coali-
tion of pro-Europe parties also
voted to appoint Volodymyr Groys-
man, an ally of the president and a
deputy prime minister, as parlia-
mentary speaker. Parliament elects
the prime minister, finance minister
and interior minister, among other
cabinet posts, while Mr. Poroshenko
chooses the foreign and defense
ministers, as well as the head of the
national bank, who are all expected
to remain in place.
Mr. Yatsenyuk became prime
minister in February after the previ-
ous government collapsed when
pro-Russia former President Viktor
Yanukovych fled amid street pro-
tests.
The chamber, where more than
half of the deputies were taking
seats for the first time, bristled
Thursday with defiant displays of
patriotism and unity.
Only 418 lawmakers in the 450-
seat parliament were sworn in,
since voting couldn’t take place in
eastern areas occupied by Russia-
backed militants, and in Crimea—
which Russia annexed in March.
But for the first time in its his-
tory, parliament has a clear majority
of pro-Western lawmakers. Mr.
Yatsenyuk, 40 years old, was elected
with 341 votes.
The newcomers include muckrak-
ing journalists connected with the
protests against Mr. Yanukovych
and commanders of volunteer bat-
talions fighting in the east, some of
whom turned up in fatigues. Also
present was Mr. Poroshenko’s son,
who was elected to parliament in a
single-mandate district. The presi-
dent said his son hadn’t consulted
him on his decision to take up poli-
tics.
One of the new deputies, Ukrai-
nian pilot Nadiya Savchenko, man-
aged to take her oath despite being
held in a Russian psychiatric clinic,
officials said. She was seized by
separatists and taken to Russia. The
rebels accuse her of involvement in
the death of two Russian journalists,
a charge she denies.
Mr. Poroshenko said that
Ukraine’s “shaky ideological bal-
ance” between East and West had
changed, pledging overhauls that
would allow the country to apply for
membership of the European Union
in five years—an ambitious goal,
given that only a few EU members
favor further eastward expansion.
In a surprise move, Mr. Porosh-
enko said a foreigner should head
the country’s new National Anti-
Corruption Bureau. “He’ll have an
advantage: an absence of links in
the Ukrainian political elite,” he
said, without elaborating whom he
would like to see in the post.
He also said parliament should
vote to cancel a law that declares
Ukraine a “nonaligned” state, saying
it hadn’t protected the country’s se-
curity. But, in a sign of the careful
balancing act he will have to play
between strident pro-Westerners in
his coalition and a prickly Russia, he
cautioned against calls to join the
North Atlantic Treaty Organization
immediately.
“We decided to return to the
course of integration in the Euro-At-
lantic security space,” he said. “But
at the same time, I call on everyone
to acknowledge that political specu-
lation around joining NATO as soon
as possible, even today, take the
time of Ukraine joining further
away, not closer.”
The Kremlin has repeatedly de-
manded that its neighbor abandon
any attempt to integrate with NATO,
saying that such a move would
threaten Russia’s security.
Still, Mr. Poroshenko said
Ukraine had no intention of becom-
ing a federal state, a demand often
raised by Russia, and would pre-
serve Ukrainian as the only state
language.
Continued from first page
President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.
He will also visit the 17th-cen-
tury Blue Mosque, Istanbul’s main
mosque, and the Hagia Sophia, an
iconic Istanbul landmark that is also
a clear symbol of the challenges he
faces. Now a museum, it was for
centuries an Eastern Orthodox ca-
thedral before being transformed
into a mosque. Some Muslim leaders
are calling for it to be turned back
into a mosque, a possibility that has
alarmed Turkish Christians.
Since his election, the pope has
extended regular gestures of good-
will to the Muslim world. He in-
cluded an imam in his personal en-
tourage during his Middle East trip.
He chose Albania, a Muslim-major-
ity country, for his first visit to a
European country outside Italy and
sent a message of esteem to Mus-
lims to mark the end of Ramadan. In
a lengthy manifesto for his papacy,
he wrote that “authentic Islam and
the proper reading of the Quran are
opposed to every form of violence.”
“Francis is a man of dialogue and
wants to open a new page with the
Islamic world,” says Mohammad
Sammak, secretary-general of the
National Committee for Christian-
Muslim Dialogue. “He has a very
positive image all over the Arab
world.”
While that image serves better
relations, it also puts the pope un-
der pressure to use the capital he
has earned. The plight of Christians
Pope Francis’ Reset of Relations With Islam Faces Test
“demands a clear and courageous
stance on the part of religious lead-
ers, especially Muslims,” said the
Vatican in August. Otherwise, “what
credibility would remain to the in-
terreligious dialogue patiently pur-
sued in recent years?”
Turkey, long a bridge between
East and West, has sought to bur-
nish its credentials as a model of
reconciliation amid sectarian strife
at its borders. It welcomed more
than 1.5 million refugees from Iraq
and Syria. And Mr. Erdogan, a pious
Muslim, has forged an Islamic-in-
fused democracy that he offers as a
model—one the pope may exalt.
The president’s party “is essen-
tially an Islamic party in power in
an Islamic country,” says Maurizio
Albahari, a professor at the Univer-
sity of Notre Dame, and the Church
could find common cause with a
government that is championing a
stronger role for religion in the pub-
lic sphere.
But within Turkey, Christians
complain that they are discrimi-
nated against, and some critics say
Mr. Erdogan has failed to condemn
atrocities against Christians by Is-
lamic State strongly enough.
The head of the Diyanet, the gov-
ernment’s religious affairs body, re-
jects that argument, saying Europe
hasn’t done enough to speak out
against anti-Muslim sentiment. In
September, Mehmet Gormez said
that resolution of tensions between
Christians and Muslims “doesn’t
happen through things like washing
a young girl’s feet or arranging in-
terfaith football games.”
Some say the pope may tread
lightly in raising the problems with
Muslim leaders. In 2011, Al-Azhar
University in Cairo, which is consid-
ered the leading center of Sunni Is-
lamic teaching, broke relations with
the Vatican, ending an important
source of Muslim-Christian dia-
logue, after Pope Benedict called for
greater protection of Christians in
Egypt following an attack on a Cop-
tic cathedral. Al-Azhar cited the
comments as “unacceptable inter-
ference in Egypt’s affairs.”
“Pushing leaders may create the
opposite result” from what the pope
wants, says Father Fadi Daou, head
of Adyan, a Beirut-based center for
interreligious studies. “Muslim lead-
ers won’t like to react under pres-
sure of a Christian leader.”
Pope Francis has championed di-
alogue with other Christian faiths.
Christian groups want him to ad-
dress the tensions Ankara has with
churches in Turkey, whose Christian
population dwindled in the early
20th century with the forced exodus
of Greek and Armenians and killings
of millions of Armenians.
Christian leaders say they face
discrimination and their churches
are falling into disrepair because au-
thorities deny them permission to
refurbish or reconstruct them. The
Associated Press
Pope Francis, shown on Thursday at the Vatican, leaves for Turkey on Friday.
Halki Seminary, Turkey’s only Greek
Orthodox seminary, was shut down
in 1971, a high-profile example of a
wave of government confiscation of
Christian buildings.
And Turkish law says the Ortho-
dox Patriarch of Constantinople, the
spiritual head of the Orthodox
Church, must be a Turkish citizen, a
rule viewed as harassment by Greek
Orthodox Christians, who lack a
seminary in Turkey to train priests.
In a 2010 television interview,
the current patriarch, Bartholomew,
said he felt “crucified” by discrimi-
natory Turkish laws.
“Turkish politics is a witches’
brew that has made it impossible
for minority religious communities
there,” said George Demacopoulos
of Fordham University. “It’s like the
Christians in Iraq. They’ve all left.”
Prof. Mehmet Paçaci, Turkey’s
ambassador to the Holy See, said
properties can now be returned
“with just a single petition” and the
reopening of Halki is in the works.
Still, some Orthodox leaders are
likely to push the pope on these top-
ics when they meet this weekend.
“There is a new Islamicization
happening in Turkey after a long
history of secularism,” says Habib
Ephrem, head of the Union of Leba-
nese Christian Leagues. “We are
now slowly going into an Islamic
state and Erdogan is the new sultan.
If the pope doesn’t talk about diver-
sity within Turkey, why does he go
at all? To back the regime?”
Associated Press
4
| Friday - Sunday, November 28 - 30, 2014
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
EUROPE NEWS
U.K. Proposes New Scotland Tax Powers
B
Y
J
ASON
D
OUGLAS
LONDON—Scotland should gain
new powers to raise taxes, a panel
of U.K. lawmakers proposed on
Thursday in a further step toward
greater autonomy for the nation
that only narrowly voted to stay in
the U.K. in a September referendum
on independence.
The cross-party panel said in a
report that the Scottish Parliament
in Edinburgh should be given con-
trol to set and collect all income tax
raised in Scotland and gain a share
of value-added tax, a nationwide
sales tax, to help finance public
spending on education, health and
other public services.
U.K. Prime Minister David Cam-
eron and the leaders of Britain’s
other main political parties prom-
ised to hand Scotland more power
in an effort to woo citizens to vote
to stay in the U.K. in the referen-
dum. Scots rejected independence
by 55% to 45%.
The proposals should go some
way to appease Scottish people who
have demanded more say over their
affairs, though the pro-indepen-
dence Scottish National Party, said
the powers didn’t go far enough. It
also leaves Mr. Cameron with an-
other thorny problem on how to de-
liver on a parallel promise he made
to appease his own party to deliver
more say for English lawmakers
over English matters.
The panel, known as the Smith
Commission, was set up after the
referendum to bring together nego-
tiators from five political parties to
hammer out a deal on further devo-
lution to Scotland. The recommen-
dations are expected to be put into
draft legislation in the new year.
The proposals represent “the
biggest transfer of powers” since
the creation of the Edinburgh Par-
liament, said Robert Smith, chair-
man of the commission.
The Scottish Parliament was re-
established after a nearly 300-year
hiatus in 1999 and controls spending
in Scotland on almost three-quar-
ters of government business. U.K.-
wide matters such as foreign affairs,
defense and welfare remain the re-
sponsibility of the U.K. Parliament
at Westminster in London.
But Scotland’s spending powers
aren’t matched by the ability to
raise its own revenue, a fact that
has long rankled lawmakers favor-
ing greater autonomy. Instead, the
bulk of U.K. taxes, including corpo-
ration tax, income tax and North
Sea oil and gas receipts, is funneled
through London before being doled
back to Scotland and other regions
of the U.K. The central government
also issues U.K. debt.
Alongside its proposals on tax,
the commission recommended Scot-
land be handed new borrowing pow-
ers to finance investment in infra-
structure and plug unexpected gaps
in its budget.
The commission also recom-
mended the Scottish Parliament be
given limited new powers over wel-
fare spending, although major bene-
fits such as pensions and out-of-
work payments will continue to be
administered from London.
David Phillips, senior research
economist at the nonpartisan Insti-
tute for Fiscal Studies, calculated
that the proposals will mean the
Scottish government controls or ad-
ministers taxes equivalent to about
50% of annual spending, compared
with just 13% now. But he added
Home Rule?
Current powers
U.K. lawmakers propose giving Scotland’s semiautonomous parliament
new powers over tax and spending.
Proposed powers
Scottish parliament, local authorities
administer taxes equivalent to
roughly 50% of overall spending
New powers over some aspects of
welfare spending
Scotland will gain control of income
tax and a parcel of other lesser taxes
Scottish parliament will be handed a
chunk of VAT, a nationwide sales tax
Scottish parliament, local authorities
administer taxes equivalent to 13% of
overall spending
Foreign affairs, welfare spending and
defense are all controlled from
London
Limited ability to raise tax through local
property taxes and other minor levies
Controls spending in areas including
health, education and tourism
Sources: Scottish government, Smith Commission,
Institute for Fiscal Studies Photo: Reuters
The Wall Street Journal
Yes campaign placards on a fence
on the Isle of Lewis in the Outer
Hebrides days before Scotland’s
independence vote on Oct. 12
that working out the mechanics of
how the new fiscal arrangements
between Scotland and the rest of
the U.K. will work in practice will be
tricky.
Business groups and the U.K.’s
main political parties welcomed the
commission’s proposals. But the
Scottish National Party, the largest
party in the Edinburgh Parliament,
said they had wanted to see more.
Deputy Leader John Swinney said
the SNP will fight next year’s U.K.-
wide general election on a platform
of augmenting the Scottish Parlia-
ment’s powers still further.
“The Westminster parties have
now gone as far as they are ever
prepared to go in terms of powers
for Scotland and it is not as far as
they indicated during the referen-
dum,” he said.
The promise of further powers
for Scotland has reopened old argu-
ments in the U.K. over how its con-
stituent parts—England, Scotland,
Wales and Northern Ireland—are
governed.
In September, Mr. Cameron made
a parallel promise to give English
lawmakers a greater say over legis-
lation that affects England to bal-
ance devolution in Scotland, Wales
and Northern Ireland. That de-
lighted many in his Conservative
Party, which draws the bulk of its
support from England.
But it has proved awkward for
the main opposition Labour Party,
which relies on Scottish and Welsh
lawmakers to govern effectively
when it controls the U.K. Parliament
in London.
Andrew Tyrie, a senior Conser-
vative lawmaker and chairman of
Parliament’s influential treasury
committee, Thursday urged the gov-
ernment to act quickly to give Eng-
lish members of Parliament full con-
trol of English-only matters. “A
crucial step must be to address an-
other grievance—that Scottish MPs
vote on English laws.”
Mr. Cameron on Thursday
tweeted that he intends to publish
proposals on “English votes for Eng-
lish laws” before Christmas.
—Jon Sindreu
contributed to this article.
Rising Immigration Pressures Cameron
B
Y
N
ICHOLAS
W
INNING
LONDON—Prime Minister David
Cameron’s efforts to curb immigra-
tion flows suffered a blow on Thurs-
day as official statistics showed that
more than a quarter of a million
more people came to Britain than
left in the year to June.
Immigration is shaping up to be
a big issue in the general election
scheduled for May. The rising num-
bers will be unwelcome for Mr.
Cameron, who had pledged to slash
net migration. The timing is particu-
larly uncomfortable as the prime
minister prepares to give a long-
awaited speech laying out his ideas
for further curbing immigration.
Behind the rise is a spike in the
numbers of people coming to the
U.K. from other European Union
countries. Mr. Cameron is under
pressure from many in his own Con-
servative Party to clamp down on
inflows from within Europe. But
that places the prime minister in a
difficult position as other EU lead-
ers have warned him against trying
to block the free movement of peo-
ple, which they see as a fundamen-
tal principle of the 28-country bloc.
Net long-term migration—the
number of people coming to the U.K.
minus those leaving—was an esti-
mated 260,000 in the 12 months to
June 2014, a 43% increase from the
year-earlier period, according to of-
ficial statistics released Thursday.
The number is at its highest for a
12-month period since 2011 and
above where it was when Mr. Cam-
eron took office in 2010.
More than half of the increase in
people coming to the U.K. was ac-
counted for by the immigration of
EU citizens: Inflows from within Eu-
rope rose by 45,000, while those
from elsewhere increased by 30,000,
according to the Office for National
Statistics, the government’s official
statistics agency.
Among countries with an in-
crease to the U.K. were Romania and
Bulgaria, which had been a focus of
the debate before Jan. 1, when tem-
porary restrictions on the inflow of
workers from the two countries
were lifted.
Mr. Cameron is expected to out-
line proposals aimed at curbing in-
flows from within Europe in his
speech on immigration, expected
soon. Some analysts say he may
look to limit the access of EU work-
ers to certain welfare support.
While such measures could go
some way toward appeasing those
on the right of his party who want
tougher controls, it is unlikely to go
far enough for those pushing for the
U.K.’s exit from the EU.
“The only way that we going to
able to properly control our borders
is to leave the European Union,”
said Conservative lawmaker Philip
Hollobone. He said he wanted to see
Mr. Cameron confirm in his forth-
coming speech that reducing immi-
gration from the EU will be a prior-
ity in any renegotiation of Britain’s
ties with the bloc.
The U.K. has seen an increasingly
vocal debate over immigration in re-
cent years. Many Conservatives and
other proponents of curbs argue the
sharp increases of immigrants are
placing an untenable strain on pub-
lic services, such as schools and
housing, particularly at a time when
the government is cutting spending.
Many businesses and others argue
that people from overseas help plug
crucial gaps in skills and that most
immigrants come to Britain to work
and pay taxes, or to study.
Mr. Cameron must tread a care-
ful path. He has found some sympa-
thy within the EU among member
states that would prefer the U.K. re-
main in the bloc. But several Euro-
pean leaders, including German
Chancellor Angela Merkel, having
suggested that the free movement
of people in the EU is sacrosanct.
—Jon Sindreu
contributed to this article.
Germany Benefits
From Immigrants
Funding Welfare
BERLIN—Germany is making a
“considerable” financial profit from
the surge in immigrants, with its 6.6
million foreigners helping to fund
the aging country’s costly welfare
system, a study published Thursday
showed.
Foreigners paid on average
€3,300 ($4,127) more in taxes and
social-security contributions in 2012
than they took out in benefits, gen-
erating a €22 billion surplus for the
public coffers that year, according to
a study by the nonpartisan ZEW
economic institute which was com-
missioned by the Bertelsmann
Foundation.
The study offers a strong rebut-
tal to the belief of many Germans
that fast-rising immigration is be-
coming too heavy a drain on the
country’s finances.
The government is preparing to
damp “benefit tourism,” the abuse
of welfare by foreigners who come
without intending to seek work.
“The foreigners who live in Ger-
many aren’t a burden for the Ger-
man social-welfare state, quite the
contrary,” said Holger Bonin, author
of the study.
Immigration to Germany reached
a 20-year high of 1,226,000 last
year. It is the second-most popular
destination for economic migrants
after the U.S., according to the Or-
ganization for Economic Cooperation
and Development.
—Andrea Thomas
Immigration Debate
The U.K. sees rising levels of immigration...
Annual net migration—the number of people coming to the
U.K. minus those leaving—including U.K. citizens
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
0
EU, 2014
Net Migrants, 2014
...and a growing share of inflows from the EU.
Number of migrants coming to the U.K. each year
Non-EU, 2014
260,000*
272,000*
228,000*
’94
’96
’98 ’00 ’02 ’04 ’06 ’08
’10
’12
’14
’94
’96
’98
’00
’02
’04
’06
’08
’10
’12
’14
*Figures for 2014 are based on the 12-month period through June 2014; all other figures are based on calendar years.
Source: U.K. Office for National Statistics
The Wall Street Journal
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
Friday - Sunday, November 28 - 30, 2014 |
5
EUROPE NEWS
Inflation continues to weaken and bank lending is still shrinking
across the eurozone.
Inflation,
change from a year earlier in
the harmonized consumer-price indexes
4%
3
2
1
0
–1
Subdued Pulse
Private-sector lending by eurozone
banks,
change from a year earlier
0%
–0.5
–1.0
–1.5
–2.0
–2.5
Germany
Eurozone*
Spain
Spain’s Leader Presents
Anticorruption Bills
AND
A
NA
G
ARCÍA
B
Y
D
AVID
R
OMÁN
’13
’14
’13
’14
The Wall Street Journal
*Most recent data available, October 2014
Sources: Eurostat (inflation); European Central Bank (lending)
Weak Prices, Bank Lending
Put Pressure on ECB to Act
B
Y
P
AUL
H
ANNON
A
ND
T
ODD
B
UELL
Consumer prices fell in Spain
and Belgium while rising in Ger-
many at their slowest annual pace
in almost five years in November,
fueling expectations that the Euro-
pean Central Bank will soon commit
to more-aggressive stimulus mea-
sures.
In another challenge for policy
makers, separate figures released on
Thursday showed bank lending to
businesses continued to decline in
October, despite a series of mea-
sures launched since June designed
to increase the flow of credit.
Still, there are signs the euro-
zone economy will continue to grow
in the final quarter of a disappoint-
ing 2014—albeit at a very weak
pace—with German unemployment
falling and eurozone business confi-
dence on the rise.
Recent comments by senior offi-
cials have heightened investor ex-
pectations that the central bank will
start to buy government bonds early
next year, embarking on a policy
known as quantitative easing.
Though central banks in the U.S.,
U.K. and Japan have deployed the
policy extensively, the ECB has
largely resisted, focusing its uncon-
ventional stimulus efforts instead
on loans to banks and purchases of
private debt securities.
ECB President Mario Draghi put
financial markets on alert last week
that the central bank was losing pa-
tience with ultralow levels of infla-
tion and was ready to do more.
On Wednesday, his deputy, Vitor
Constancio, sent the strongest sig-
nal to date that the ECB is prepared
to buy government bonds early next
year should it decide that more-ag-
gressive stimulus measures are
needed.
Germany’s statistics agency said
Thursday that consumer prices rose
0.5% in the 12 months to November,
the smallest increase since February
2010. In Spain, prices fell 0.5% in
November from November 2013, af-
ter a 0.2% annual drop in October,
while Belgian prices also declined
slightly.
An inflation measure for the eu-
rozone as a whole will be released
on Friday. The consensus forecast of
22 economists surveyed by The Wall
Street Journal last week was for a
decline in the currency area’s infla-
tion rate to 0.3% from 0.4% in Octo-
ber. That would make it the 14th
straight month in which inflation
was less than half the rate targeted
by the ECB, which is just below 2%.
With energy prices falling, econ-
omists said further declines in the
inflation rate are likely in coming
months.
“Inflation may head for a new
cyclical low close to zero in Decem-
ber,” said Marco Wagner, an econo-
mist at Commerzbank.
Expectations that the ECB will
soon become a buyer created heavy
demand for eurozone government
bonds Thursday, pushing yields
down to their lowest levels since the
euro was launched in 1999.
In addition to slowing inflation,
figures released by the ECB itself in-
dicated the stimulus measures
launched since June have yet to
boost the flow of credit through the
economy.
Compared with a year earlier,
bank lending to the private sector
continued to fall in October, al-
though at a slightly slower pace
than in September.
“There is little evidence in this
data that the stimulative measures
announced by the ECB in June and
September are having much positive
impact,” said Howard Archer, an
economist at IHS Global Insight.
Economists say the long decline
in lending may be due as much to
weak business confidence as a reluc-
tance on the part of banks to pro-
vide credit.
A survey released by the Euro-
pean Commission on Thursday indi-
cated that business confidence is
once again on the rise. Concerns
about tensions between the EU and
Russia, as well as the weakening
economic outlook, led to a dip in
confidence over the summer. But
the survey found manufacturers and
retailers grew more upbeat for the
second straight month in November.
While bank lending is weak
across the currency area, the Ger-
man labor market remains strong.
The country’s labor office reported
that total jobless declined by 14,000
in adjusted terms in November.
Another survey released Thurs-
day found German consumers are
heading into the Christmas season
with increasing confidence. The sur-
vey indicates that while policy mak-
ers and economists fret over the
threat posed by low inflation to the
eurozone’s medium-term growth
prospects, it may be helping to sup-
port consumer spending right now.
—David Román
and Emese Bartha
contributed to this article.
MADRID—Prime Minister Mari-
ano Rajoy presented an expanded
package of anticorruption bills on
Thursday, urging lawmakers to act
swiftly a day after the health minis-
ter resigned over a probe into al-
leged kickbacks.
Mr. Rajoy spoke in Parliament af-
ter a judge investigating alleged
payments to members of his conser-
vative Popular Party ruled Wednes-
day that there was enough evidence
to put 43 people on trial on charges
of bribery, tax fraud, influence-ped-
dling and money laundering.
Three years after ousting a So-
cialist government from office and
facing a new election in a year, Mr.
Rajoy and his party are on the de-
fensive against a popular perception
that politicians have enriched them-
selves while presiding over budget-
cutting measures that deepened the
pain of Spain’s recent recession.
“I can understand the irritation
and distrust of our citizens, but sus-
picion should not be leveled at ev-
eryone,” the prime minister said.
“Spain is not corrupt. Most Spanish
politicians are clean.”
Mr. Rajoy presented 70 anticor-
ruption measures. About half are
new; the rest are part of two bills
that have been stalled in Parliament
for months. He called on lawmakers
to iron out differences over criminal
penalties and other details. “The
Spanish people want a deal,” he
said.
One bill would outlaw corporate
donations to political parties and
lower the limit on individual dona-
tions to €50,000 ($62,000), from
€100,000. Banks would no longer be
allowed to cancel the debts of par-
ties or give them interest rates be-
low market levels. Another bill
would regulate the salaries and ex-
penses of civil servants and the ac-
tivities of officials who leave gov-
ernment, to avoid conflicts of
interests.
Socialist leader Pedro Sanchez
told Parliament his party would co-
operate on the bills only if Mr. Ra-
joy’s party assumes collective re-
sponsibility
for
the
alleged
kickbacks. Otherwise, he said, ad-
dressing Mr. Rajoy, “You are in no
position to lead Spain against cor-
ruption.”
Concluding a yearslong probe of
alleged kickbacks, Judge Pablo Ruz
said Wednesday that Popular Party
members had taken tens of millions
of euros in return for business con-
tracts and other favors when they
headed six regional governments
between 1999 and 2009.
Among those charged were three
former treasurers of the party, sev-
eral former elected officials, other
party members and businesspeople.
More damaging to Mr. Rajoy was
the judge’s conclusion that Ana
Mato had benefited from payoffs to
her husband before she became
health minister.
Ms. Mato resigned her position
hours after the judge’s report, say-
ing she wanted to shield Mr. Rajoy’s
government from criticism.
Ms. Mato was married to a de-
fendant in the case, Jesús Sep-
úlveda, when he served as mayor of
a Madrid suburb between 2003 and
2009. Ms. Mato wasn’t charged, but
the judge said she would be ques-
tioned to determine whether she
knew the origin of gifts received by
the family during that time—includ-
ing cash payments, hotel stays,
flights and luxury goods.
Ms. Mato said in a statement
that she had no knowledge of any
crime, and Mr. Rajoy defended her
innocence in Parliament. In earlier
statements, Mr. Sepúlveda has de-
nied any wrongdoing.
Corruption allegations also have
hurt the Socialist Party and put doz-
ens of its members under judicial
investigation. Disenchantment with
both parties has aided the swift rise
of a far-left party, Podemos, that
was formed early this year and has
vowed to clean up Spanish politics.
One poll published this week
showed 28.3% of Spaniards support
Podemos, 26.3% for the Popular
Party and 26% for the Socialists.
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